Colorado
W-L: (16- 4) PR = 93.9091Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 10- 9 215 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8- 5 221 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 17- 5 226 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 7- 9 301 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 13- 6 308 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 7- 8 315 H Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 18- 3 318 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 11- 5 328 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 16- 5 404 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 7- 9 406 A Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 10- 9 411 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 10- 5 415 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 9- 6 419 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 13- 6 425 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 19- 5 430 N Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 13- 7 502 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 8- 6 508 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 10- 9 510 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 11- 9 514 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
209 A Northwestern 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.37
215 H Cornell 8- 5 3 5 -1.53
221 H Towson 17- 5 12 11 0.83
226 A Stony Brook 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.83
301 A Army 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.91
308 A Michigan 7- 8 -1 -1 0.38
315 H Stetson 18- 3 15 20 0.00
318 H Connecticut 11- 5 6 10 - -3.97
328 H San Diego State 16- 5 11 16 - -3.00
404 A Florida 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.12
406 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 4 - -2.51
411 H Cincinnati 10- 5 5 12 --- -7.31
415 A Denver 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.24
419 A UC Davis 13- 6 7 8 -1.02
425 H Arizona State 19- 5 14 8 ++ 5.67
430 N Arizona State 13- 7 6 7 -0.96
502 A Florida 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.88
508 H Jacksonville 10- 9 1 6 -- -5.24
510 H Denver 11- 9 2 1 0.51
514 A Northwestern 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Cincinnati 10- 5 5 12 --- -7.31 508 H Jacksonville 10- 9 1 6 -- -5.24 318 H Connecticut 11- 5 6 10 - -3.97 328 H San Diego State 16- 5 11 16 - -3.00 406 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 4 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Northwestern 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.37 301 A Army 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.91 415 A Denver 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.24 425 H Arizona State 19- 5 14 8 ++ 5.67 502 A Florida 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.88 514 A Northwestern 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.37 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 10- 9 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.87 66.78
3 H Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8- 5 -9.15 31.02 -1.37 0.87 51.36
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 17- 5 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 0.87 39.85
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 7- 9 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.87 -2.09
3 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 13- 6 -8.45 31.72 1.37 0.87 57.32
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 7- 8 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.87 -2.00
3 H Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 18- 3 -24.36 15.81 -1.37 0.87 25.02
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 11- 5 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 0.87 41.94
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 16- 5 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 0.87 32.06
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 7- 9 -6.48 33.69 1.37 0.87 -2.21
3 A Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 10- 9 -10.86 29.30 1.37 0.87 53.13
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 10- 5 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 0.87 37.88
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 9- 6 -6.12 34.05 1.37 0.87 61.36
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 13- 6 -15.38 24.79 1.37 0.87 45.31
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 19- 5 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 0.87 44.78
3 N Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 13- 7 -12.95 27.22 -0.00 0.87 47.15
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 8- 6 -6.48 33.69 1.37 0.87 60.73
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 10- 9 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 0.87 48.39
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 11- 9 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 0.87 56.62
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 12-13 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.87 -0.70
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762.67
|
winning pts = 769.6728 losing points = -7.0017
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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